Using  mathematical models to assess the influence of climate change on malaria risk

dc.contributor.author	Mbaabu, Idah Makena
dc.date.accessioned	2013-02-25T09:55:55Z
dc.date.issued	2011-07
dc.identifier.uri	http://erepository.uonbi.ac.ke:8080/xmlui/handle/123456789/11146
dc.description.abstract	In this study, a non-linear deterministic model is analysed to study the e ect of climate change on malaria incidence. Existence and uniqueness of solutions to the model is established and the existence of a globally stable disease free equilibrium whenever the reproduction number is less than unity. Numerical simulations are provided to con rm the theory of stability of endemic equilibrium. Our ndings showed that there is a relation between malaria incidences and climate change. Malaria cases are high when temperatures are around 31 - 33 C given the region receives enough rainfall to sustain development of the malaria vector. The ndings of this study con rm that by ignoring other factors, rainfall and mean monthly temperature have some contribution on the presence of malaria in some Kenyan highlands. x	en
dc.description.sponsorship	University of Nairobi	en
dc.language.iso	en	en
dc.subject	Mathematical models	en
dc.subject	Climate change	en
dc.subject	malaria risk	en
dc.title	Using mathematical models to assess the influence of climate change on malaria risk	en
dc.type	Thesis	en
local.publisher	School of mathematics	en