The impact of fiscal and monetary policies on stock market performance in Kenya: an empirical analysis
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Date
2000-09Author
Ngigi, Rosemary W
Type
ThesisLanguage
enMetadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Motivated by growing theoretical and empirical evidence, which shows that stock markets playa vital
role in boosting long-run economic growth, governments the world over have instituted measures
aimed at enhancing stock market operations. However, if any stock market is to play its allocative role
properly, alot more needs to be done on the macroeconomic policy framework front. Specifically, both
fiscal and monetary policies formulation should be geared towards enhancing the efficacy with which
resources are mobilized through the stock market. To this end, this study investigated the impact of
fiscal and monetary policy actions on stock market performance in Kenya. It sought to answer the
question on the nature and extent of the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on the performance of
the NSE. It further sought to determine which specific components of these policies (anticipated or
unanticipated), affect the NSE performance.
The study proceeded by first testing for stationarity and cointegration of the variables used in the
estimation process. Having specified the fiscal and monetary policies error correction models, it went
on to determine the anticipated and unanticipated components of the same, by use of the general-tospecific
model specification and reduction. The values for the anticipated and unanticipated fiscal and
monetary policies attained thereof, were then used in the estimation of the stock market performance
function, as measured by the stock price index.
The empirical results attained showed that bothanticipated monetary policy actions, and unanticipated
fiscal policy actions affect the stock market negatively, whilst unanticipated monetary policy
adjustments affect it positively. Anticipated fiscal policy actions on the other hand, were found to have
no impact on the stock market. .These findings suggest that policy makers need to exercise
considerable caution regarding fiscal-monetary policy stance and stock market regulation in Kenya
Publisher
Department of Economics, University of Nairobi
Description
Master of Arts in Economics