Multistate modelling vertical transmission and determination of r0 using transition intensities
Abstract
In this paper multi-state modelling is used to determine the proba-
bility distribution of the di erent states of vertical transmission of HIV.
We start with a healthy-infected-dead three state model which we then
modify and extend to a four state healthy-infected-treated-Aids four
state model. Using the matrix approach we calculate their respection
transition probabilities and compare the two models using the basic re-
production number. In both models R0 < 1 suggesting that this mode
of transmission will eventually be contained.
Citation
Orowe I, Weke P. "Multistate Modelling Vertical Transmission and Determination of R0 Using Transition Intensities." HIKARI Applied Mathematical Sciences. 2015;9(79):3941-3956.Publisher
University of Nairobi