Coal supply situation: availability for substitution in the Kenyan economy
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Okech, Benjamin A. (1988) Coal supply situation: availability for substitution in the Kenyan economy. Discussion Paper 289, Nairobi: Institiute for Development Studies, University of Nairobihttp://opendocs.ids.ac.uk/opendocs/handle/123456789/767
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Publisher
Institute for Development Studies, University of Nairobi
Subject
Economic DevelopmentDescription
This paper analyses the coal/supply situation as it pertains
to the availability for coal/fuel oil substitution in Kenya. Two
developments are envisaged as possible precipitants of coal/fuel
oil substitution. The first development is the changing quality of
the bulk of crude oil on which Kenya depends. The second is the
increasing demand for superior products which is expected to evolve,
both in absolute and relative terms, as the economy grows.
The potential for these developments to affect the fuel oil
supply is high. If the effect is negative, the issue of substitution
becomes necessarily a vital policy consideration. Coal is, by and
large, seen as an immediate option. Accordingly at all levels of
policy consideration, the availability of coal as a substitute must
be conceived, at least, as probable.
The paper underscores two basic supply conditions. The first
is the mineral nature: of coal commodity. And, the second is the
dependence on imported coal which theoretically can be produced from
any outside source. It has been, therefore, necessary to establish
the basic mineral supply concepts and approach the Kenyan coal
availability from global supply framework.
With these as the background, the paper analyses the world
supply situation and from this extrapolates to put the Kenyan supply
situation into relevant perspectives. In this task the fuel oil and
coal consumptions in Kenya are reviewed and analysed in order to
identify energy gaps and coal consumption potentials. The conclusion
is that, by and large, availability potentials is high to a degree
where Kenya would be capable of diversifying the supply source not
only to meet her coal requirements but also to ensure a reasonable
degree of supply security.
Rights
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/Institute for Development Studies, University of Nairobi