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dc.contributor.authorOkoola, Raphael E A
dc.date.accessioned2013-05-11T10:34:28Z
dc.date.issued1982
dc.identifier.citationMSc.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://erepository.uonbi.ac.ke:8080/xmlui/handle/123456789/21963
dc.description.abstractThis study is for part of the First Garp Global Experiment (FGGE) period. The onset of 1979 summer monsoon over Southwest India is studied in relation to pressure surges in Southwest Indian Oceano Furtnerl fluctuations in the intensity of the monsoon system over the Southwest Indian Ocean and neighbourhood were studied in some detail for the period of about two months from the middle of June to the middle of August 1979. This period is hereafter called the "selected monsoon period". The region of study lies between latitudes ISoN and 350S, and longitudes 3loE o and 85 E. Southern India is part of this regiono Stations whose data were used for analysis are Rodrigues, Mauritius, Fort Dauphin, Durban, Diego Suarez, Saint-Denis, St. Brandon,' Dar es Salaam, Seychelles, Mombasa and Garissao Mauritius, Saint- Denis and Fort Dauphin are near the mean location oooS, SOoE) of the centre of the Mascarene high while Diego Suarez, Mo~basa and Garissa are close to the low level jet systemo Seychelles is affected by easterly disturbanceso The northern boundary of the region.of study is near the mean location of the tropical easterly jet. In addition to the individ~al station data mentioned above, objectively analysed data at grid points available at the British Meteorological Office, Bracknell were also usedo The data used were the once-a-day (1200 GMT) values of sea level pressure and winds (at both low and high levels) Using Mauritius and St. Brandon surface pressure values, two epochs were selected for intensive study: (i) Intense Mascarene high (IMH) which was of seven days duration (3 July to 9 July 1979). During this period the surface p r essu r e , p, at the two stations exceeded the mean for the "selected monsoon period", p, by more than one - standard deviation, 0, that is, p>p+o. (i i) Weak Mascarene high (WMH) which was of eight-Aays duration (27 June, 23 to 25 July, 3 to 5 August and 10 August 1979) 0 During this period the surface pressure, p, at both stations was less than the mean for the "selected monsoon period" by more than one standard deviation, that is, p<p-o. Mean sea level pressure, horizontal velocity divergence and relative vorticity at 850 mb level, and wind fields for th~se periods showed the following features:- (a) the southeast trade winds in the region between the Mascarene high and the equator were relatively strong or weak during the periods of intense or weak Mascarene high respectively. (b) East African low level jet stream was associated with horizontal velocity convergence at the core and horizontal velocity divergence on its two sides. (c) the orientation of the horizontal velocity divergence isopleths was in the direction of the low level streamlines. This pattern was better organised during the period of intense Mascarene high than during the period of weak Mascarene high. Cd) the negative values of relative-vorticity at 850 rob level to the right of the low level jet stream were large over the Southwest Arabian Sea. The flow in this region, particularly between Equator and lOoN, had negative absolute vorticity values. The flow in this region may therefore be inertially unstable. (e) the tropical easterly jet stream oscillated ln north-south direction with the oscillations in the intensity of the Mascarene high, the jet stream being furthest south during the period of intense Mascarene high and furthest north during the period of weak Mascarene high. The time series of individual station and grid point data were subjected to spectral analysis. It was seen that the 4-6 day and 11-14 day periods were invariably dominant in all the elements analysed. These will hereafter be referred to as 5-day and quasi~biweekly periods respectively. These periods were significant at 95% confidence limit for almost all the elements. Cross spectrum analysis was also performed for different paramenters at the same station and for stations at differen~,locations. analysis showed: The results from this La) 5-day oscillation li) The surface pressure and meridional wind component at 900/850 mb level showed 5~day oscillation over the southwest Indian Ocean. (ii) The period of this oscillation increased from about 4.5 days to about 6.5 days as one moved eastwards along latitude 300S, from longitude 3loE to longitude 850E. (iii) Near latitude 300S, the S-day oscillation had zonal wavelength of 600 longitude and its phase speed was l~J ms -1 f rom west to east. The troughs and ridges of this wave were orientated in nearly north - south direction between 300S and the near-equatorial region. Civ) Statistically significant coherence existed for this oscillation between the Mascarene high surface pressure and the meridional wind component at 900/850 mb between the equator and latitude 2S o So (b) Quasi-biweekly oscillation Ci) In addition to the S-day oscillation mentioned above, a quasi-biweekly oscillation was also observed in surface pressure, and in the zonal and meridional components of wind at 900/850 mb level. (ii) Statistically significant coherence was observed between Mascarene high surface pressure and zonal wind component in the region between the equator and latitude 2S o S. Ci o Along 51 E, the meridional wind component showed a wavelength of 1700 latitude and a phase speed of -1 18m s.- inth e d ire c t ion sou th t0 north. The 5~day oscillations ln the surface pressure is associated with the trough/ridge movements in the southern extra-tropical westerlies while the quasibiweekly period appears to be due to the Hadley cell circulation. The Southeasterly trades display major peaks at periods similar to those of pressure. However, the meridional wind component, V, shows a relatively stronger peak at the 5-day period and the zonal wind, U, has a relatively stronger peak at the quasi-biweekly period. The oscillation in the meridional wind at 850 mb level with observed quasi-biweekly period and wavelength of 1700 latitude is considered to be associated with the Hadley cell.en
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversity of Nairobien
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherUniversity of Nairobien
dc.titleMonsoon system over southwest Indian Ocean during northern summer of 1979en
dc.typeThesisen
local.publisherDepartment of Meteorologyen


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