| dc.description.abstract | This thesis has mainly dealt with the projection of
population in Nairobi Province by division. It also dealt with
population projection of primarily school age population mainly
of ages (6 - 13 years), this projection was also done by
division, though an attempt was also done to project by wards,
the thesis has examined the future primary school age population
and its implication. It is most likely to have on the education
and its provision in Nairobi Province, namely:-
Enrolment and wastages.
The techniques used for projection is the intercensal growth
rate. The data used is the 1969 and 1979 censuses.
The intercensal growth rate is fitted into an exponential
growth model, and since the primary school age population is
required and the census data is given in five years age group, it
becomes necessary to use interpolation coefficients based on
the sprague multipliers to break the five year age group in
single years (6 - 13 years).
For the enrolment and wastage, the enrolment ratio method
and a cohort survival analysis is done.
With the present mortality, fertility and migration trends
the primary school population will be increasing fast into the
year 2000. | en |
