| dc.description.abstract | A comparative analysis of global river basins shows
that some river discharges are more sensitive to future
climate change for the coming century than to natural
cliniate variability over the last 9000 years. In these basins
(Ganges, Mekong, Volta, Congo, Amazon, Murray-Darling,
Rhine, Oder, Yukon) future discharges increase by 6-61 %.
These changes are of similar magnitude to changes over the
last 9000 years. Some rivers (Nile, Syr Darya) experienced
strong reductions in discharge over the last 9000 years (17-
56%), but show much smaller responses to future warming,
The simulation results for the last 9000 years are validated
with independent proxy data. Citation: Aerts, J. C. J. H.,
H. Renssen, P. J. Ward, H. de Moel, E. Odada, L. M. Bouwer,
and H. Goosse (2006), Sensitivity of global river discharges
unde~ Holocene and future climate conditions, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 33, L19401, doi:10.1029/2006GL027493. | en |
