Determinants of Unintended Pregnancy: a Comparative Study of Central and Western Provinces of Kenya
Abstract
Kenya continues to record high rates of unintended pregnancies. The 2008-09 KDHS
showed that 43 per cent of all pregnancies were unintended. This was a marginal decrease from
the 2003 KDHS that recorded unintended pregnancies at 45%. Unintended pregnancy is one of
the greatest contributors of maternal mortality currently estimated at 488 deaths per 100 000
live births. Most of these deaths results from unsafe abortion. In Kenya, the determinants of
unintended pregnancies regionally are poorly understood. This study therefore sought to
establish determinants of unintended pregnancy in Central and Western provinces.
This study used data drawn from the 2008-09 KDHS. The data was analyzed using
descriptive statistics which included simple percentages and bivariate analysis which involved
cross tabulation and logistic regression. The study found that 47% of women in Central
province compared with 60.8 % in Western province had unintended pregnancy. Bivariate
analysis results indicate that ever use of contraceptive, number of living children, preceding
birth interval, maternal age, marital status and wealth index were statistically associated with
unintended pregnancy in Central province. In Western province however, number of living
children, maternal age, maternal education, marital status, wealth index and type of place of
residence were statistically associated with unintended pregnancy. Determinants of unintended
pregnancy were different in the two provinces. Logistic analysis results indicate that number of
living children, maternal age, wealth index and marital status were significantly associated with
unintended pregnancy among women in Central province. It further shows that ever use of
contraceptive, number of living children, religion, maternal age, wealth index and marital status
had statistically significant effects on unintended pregnancy in Western province.
Young women aged 15-24 were significantly more likely than older women to
experience unintended pregnancy in both provinces. Similarly, unmarried women and those
who had more than three living children showed elevated risk of unintended pregnancy than
ever married women. Women from the poor households also had increased likelihood of
experiencing unintended pregnancy. Women in Western province were more likely to
experience unintended pregnancy than their counterparts in Central province.
The results imply the need for effective programmes and strategies to reduce unintended
pregnancy. Increasing access to contraceptive services is key to reducing unintended
pregnancies. The programmes should target the young women, the unmarried ones, those with
three or more living children and those from the poor households in both the provinces.
Citation
Master of Arts Degree at the Population Studies and Research Institute,Publisher
University of Nairobi,