Option Pricing in Nse
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Date
2015-10Author
Kiala, Shadrack M
Type
ThesisLanguage
enMetadata
Show full item recordAbstract
The primary objectives of this study were to establish the value of option pricing in the
Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) using Black and Scholes pricing models. All the NSE
20 share index listedcompanies in the Nairobi Securities Exchange are the primary units
of analysis for the study. Secondary data from NSE of these companies was vital for the
analysis and evaluation. The values of Options were to be determined by first establishing
the expected returns, level of volatility of stock for the period 2011 to 2014 and range of
exercise prices. The expected returns of stocks declined from 2011 to 2013 and then
stabilized in 2014.This observation was triggered by the external environment in which
elections were being held in 2012 which affected the performance of stocks in the
NSE.High inflation and high interest rates affected the stocks negatively. Most stocks
posted significant volatilities and exercise ranges which would give investors an
advantage to hedge against such movements. The exercise ranges computed were in
tandem with share prices and therefore proved reasonable to use the data in managing
risk. The volatilities of Black and Scholes model proved to work in the Kenyan market
where stocks from NSE 20 share index were used in depicting European option prices.
The calculations proved to be simple and accurate in observing price movements and
hedging against the risks associated with. The study is an eye opener to investors wishing
to make money in the stock market without necessarily worrying of stock movements.
Investors would take advantage and reap profits when the stocks were high and at the
same time when the stocks were low.
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The study will play an integral role and create financial sense to numerous groups in the
local financial markets sector. The NSE will be the greatest beneficiary since stock
market attracts more public attention than other financial markets, such as bond and
commodity thus giving a means of pricing option in the Kenyan derivative market.
Investors and financial managers will benefit by having alternative ways of controlling
risks by hedging through options. Lastly, different scholars and academicians from the
institutions of higher learning will have an opportunity to extend their role in
advancement of option pricing and development of platforms for option trading.
Publisher
University of Nairobi