Fertility Differentials Between Mombasa and Nairobi Counties Based on Kdhs 2014
Abstract
Estimation of fertility has been done in Kenya since 1980s by various researchers using
census and surveys datasets. The continuous update of data has made it possible to estimates
current fertility rate in Kenya.
The aim of this study is to estimate the current fertility rate in Nairobi and Mombasa counties
and by socioeconomic factor level, using the results obtained this study also predict
the fertility levels in Kenya for the year 2019. The socioeconomic factors explored in this
study are Education level, marital status level and the use of contraceptives. Relational
Gompertz method is used to estimate the total fertility rate at the county and national
level, the dataset used in this study is KDHS 2014.
Nairobi and Mombasa counties are majorly urban centers with Nairobi being the most Population
County and Mombasa being the second most populated county in Kenya. Results
obtained show that women with higher level of education have low TFR in both Counties:
3.03 in Mombasa and 2.25 in Nairobi while those with no education have high fertility
level: 6.8 in Mombasa and 5.11 in Nairobi. Married women in Nairobi County fertility
rate is at 3.67 which is lower than those who have never been in a union (4.58) while in
Mombasa married women have a fertility rate of 4.2 higher fertility rate compared to those
who have never been in a union (3.52). TFR among those using contraceptives is low (2.9 in
Nairobi and 3.4 in Mombasa) compared to those who are not using (3.9 in Nairobi and 4.1 in
Mombasa). Teenagers with no primary education shy away from using contraceptive (1 percent)
while 69 percent of those with primary education being major users of contraceptives.
The total fertility rate in Nairobi is 2.85 while the total fertility rate in Mombasa is 3.2.
Fertility rate in Kenya is 3.18 in 2014 and it is predicted to be 3.00 in the year 2019.
Policies should focus on encouraging female education beyond primary level and creating
awareness on the various available contraceptives methods in both Counties and
urban areas in general. The result obtained in this study can be used as a baseline for
future studies.
Publisher
University of Nairobi
Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United StatesUsage Rights
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/Collections
The following license files are associated with this item: