Regional Perspectives of Early Warning Systems (Ews): a Case Study of Igad’s Response to Conflicts in the Horn of Africa
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Date
2013-09Author
Aseto, Valerie A
Type
ThesisLanguage
enMetadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Early Warning System has been in place for some time even though its operations
have not significantly improved in Africa. For instance, despite the presence of
CEWARN in the Horn of Africa the wave of conflicts continues to raise questions as
to whether the mechanism has achieved its initial mandate. These existing gaps unless
addressed the operation of CEWARN remains a case of a good policy undermined by
poor implementation. The study establishes that Early Warning Systems was
conceived as a means of protecting and preserving life. The study empirically
reconstruct the historical development of conflict early warning in Africa; explores
how CEWARN works, its successes and subsequently indicates the areas, modalities
and challenges experienced in its operations. The study found out that accurate
prediction of conflicts is impossible since main objects of analysis are human beings,
human beings are complex and exhibit varied responses to similar stimuli. That early
warning and response do not operate in a vacuum, they are part of sub regional peace
and security project thus whatever weaknesses plague the working of sub regional
organizations whether environment, legal, financial, human resource will have
consequences on EWR or both. Hence sub regional organizations need to be
strengthened and that regional EWS and response mechanisms should focus on
improving the quality of reporting; the warning responses link and sensitivity among
senior policy making of value of evidence based on decision making in situations of
violent conflicts.
Citation
Aseto,Valerie A.;September,2013.Regional Perspectives Of Early Warning Systems (ews): A Case Study Of Igad’s Response To Conflicts In The Horn Of Africa.Publisher
University of Nairobi Institute of Diplomacy & International Studies